Donald Trump predicted on Friday afternoon that he will score a mind-blowing election victory on November 8 similar to the June 23 ‘Brexit’ vote that set Great Britain on a course to leave the European Union.
From Daily Mail
‘We will win. We will shock the world,’ he pledged in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, a decaying steel town of the sort that is tailor-made for Trump’s populist, job-saving message.’
‘This is going to be Brexit-plus. Brexit-plus,’ he said. ‘And a lot of people know it.’
During an earlier rally near Asheville, North Carolina, he described it as ‘Beyond Brexit.’ Later at night he would settle on ‘Brexit times five.’
The Republican presidential nominee told an audience estimated at 5,000 in Johnstown that a craven, dishonest mass media is masking the size and intensity of the political movement he has created out of thin air.‘This is a movement like has never taken place in our country before. And the dishonest media doesn’t like talking about our movement. They don’t like talking about it,’ he lamented, as boos rained down on reporters.
Trump is trailing Democrat Hillary Clinton in a majority of opinion surveys. But his Brexit reference hints at a potential come-from-behind win that would confound pollsters and America’s political class.
Oddsmakers in Europe report that nearly three-quarters of the money being bet on the election is staked on Clinton. But Trump-backers are placing a large majority of the bets, albeit in smaller amounts of money.
The same phenomenon was seen before the Brexit vote. The result shocked the world.
The Trump campaign is depending on a groundswell of voters who are invisible to pollsters, either because they recently registered for the first time in their lives or because they are sheepish about telling a live interviewer that they ride the Trump train.
In some parts of America where Democratic voters outstrip Republicans, being outwardly pro-Trump can fall somewhere along the spectrum between unfashionable and a hanging offense.
For that reason, Republicans look hopefully at data showing more Trump supporters when voters answer surveys anonymously instead of talking to another person.It remains to be seen if any such phenomenon might be sufficient to swing enough electoral votes in Trump’s direction.
But a similar fluke plagued pollsters before the Brexit vote: Surveys showed voters rejecting the separatist referendum by 18 percentage points.
It didn’t turn out that way, and Trump believes he’s riding the crest of a similar wave.
The sea of humanity that met Trump in Johnstown, like most of his crowds, laughed along with his jokes and booed the media when he castigated them.
They also chanted ‘Drain The Swamp!’ before he arrived – the first such appearance of Trump’s newest anti-establishment slogan.
After jockeying for position as campaign aides flung hats and fired a ti-shirt cannon into the crowd, they were tuned in to their hero’s every word.
Trump at one point cast Clinton as a career politician who operates without a public or private conscience.
‘She lied over and over and over and over,’ he exclaimed, as the audience joined him on the third ‘over.’
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